H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Bay St Louis ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has enhanced modestly considering that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and exceptionally powerful cyclone that caused huge damage and significant loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have actually now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means typhoon conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy must spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a cyclone that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to hurricane expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon specialists previously warned hurricanes might form in uncommon areas later in the season this year because of the extremely warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious dangers and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy